Influence exerted by risk factors of space and erath weather on frequency of emergency calls from patients with acute cerebral circulation disorders

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health-risk-analysis-2017-4-8.pdf

UDC:

612.0-14.41-14.43

DOI:

10.21668/health.risk/2017.4.08.eng

Authors:

V.A. Belyaeva

Organization:

Institute of Biomedical Research of Vladikavkaz Scientific Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences and the Government of the Republic of North Ossetia-Alania, 47 Pushkinskaya Str., Vladikavkaz, 362025, Russian Rederation

Abstract:

High morbidity with cardiovascular pathology increases loads on a public healthcare system and is not only social but also an economic problem. To optimize cardiovascular pathology prevention, it is necessary to thoroughly analyze risk factors which cause its occurrence. Our research goal was to examine a dynamics of acute cerebral circulation disorders depending on meteorological factors and heliofactors allowing for a seasonal component. We performed a retrospective analysis of morbidity with acute cerebral circulation disorders in winter, spring, and summer in 2012 on the basis of the archives obtained from an emergency station in Vladikavkaz. We analyzed 509 cases of the disease (294 women and 215 men). On the basis of our analysis results we assessed influence exerted by external factors on frequency of applications to emergency from patients with acute cerebral circulation disorders. We analyzed meteorological factors and heliofactors and their derivatives: average daily temperature, air pressure, relative humidity, wind speed, cloud coverage, weather pathogenicity, Sun radiation flux density at a wave length equal to 10.7, and a number of sunspots.

We detected that in winter negative influence was exerted by temperature; there was also a multi-factor dependence between frequency of acute cerebral circulation disorders and such predictors as temperature pathogenicity index and speed of changes in Sun radiation flux density during a day (Rmulti = 0.50; R2 = 0.25). Drastic temperature fluctuations make for increase in morbidity in spring. Morbidity cases frequency in women in this period correlates not only with temperature pathogenicity index but also with pathogenicity index of air pressure changes. Morbidity increase in summer is caused by simultaneous drop both in air pressure and relative humidity (Rmulti = 0.59; R2 = 0.35). Overall, correlation between external factors and morbidity with acute cerebral circulation disorder has seasonal specificity in different seasons. The obtained data make it possible to predict unfavorable influences exerted by meteorological factors and heliofactors allowing for seasonal dynamics and to plane prevention activities.

Keywords:

acute cerebral circulation disorders, seasonal morbidity, emergency, patient, risk factors, meteorological factors, heliofactors

Belyaeva V.A. Influence exerted by risk factors of space and erath weather on frequency of emergency calls from patients with acute cerebral circulation disorders. Health Risk Analysis, 2017, no. 4, pp. 76–82. DOI: 10.21668/health.risk/2017.4.08.eng

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