Risk-oriented approach application at planning and orginizing antiepidemic provision of mass events

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D.V. Efremenko1, I.V. Kuznetsova1, V.G. Orobey2, А.А. Efremenkо3, V.M. Dubyanskiy1, E.A. Manin1, D.A. Prislegina1, O.V. Semenko1


1 Stavropol Plague Control Research Institute, 13–15 Sovetskaya Str., Stavropol, 355035, Russian Federation
2 Territory Administration of the Federal Supervision Service for Consumer's Rights Protection and Human Welfare in the Krasnodar Region at c.-r. Sochi, 27 Rose Str., Sochi, 354000, Russian Federation
3 Stavropol State Medical University, 310 Mira Str., Stavropol, 355017, Russian Federation


Mass events tend to become more and more dangerous for population health, as they cause various health risks, including infectious pathologies risks. Our research goal was to work out scientifically grounded approaches to assessing and managing epidemiologic risks as well as analyze their application practices implemented during preparation to the Olympics-2014, the Games themselves, as well as other mass events which took place in 2014–2016. We assessed epidemiologic complications risks with the use of diagnostic test-systems and applying a new technique which allowed for mass events peculiarities. The technique is based on infections ranking as per 3 potential danger categories in accordance with created criteria which represented quantitative and qualitative predictive parameters (predictors). Application of risk-oriented approach and multi-factor analysis allowed us to detect exact possible maximum requirements for providing sanitary-epidemiologic welfare in terms of each separate nosologic form. As we enhanced our laboratory base with test-systems to provide specific indication as per accomplished calculations, it enabled us, on one hand, to secure the required preparations, and, on the other hand, to avoid unnecessary expenditures. To facilitate decision-making process during the Olympics-2014 we used an innovative product, namely, a computer program based on geoinformation system (GIS). It helped us to simplify and to accelerate information exchange within the frameworks of intra- and interdepartmental interaction. "Dynamic epidemiologic threshold" was daily calculated for measles, chickenpox, acute enteric infections and acute respiratory viral infections of various etiology. And if it was exceeded or possibility of "epidemiologic spot" for one or several nosologies occurred, an automatic warning appeared in GIS.

Planning prevention activities regarding feral herd infections and zoogenous extremely dangerous infections which were endemic for Sochi was accomplished taking the completed assessment into account.

The positive experience obtained through risk-oriented organization of certain activities aimed at providing anti-epidemic safety of mass international events on the Russian Federation territory allows us to be optimistic about prospects of wider implementation of the approach described above and other similar approaches based on health risk analysis principles.

epidemiologic risks, risk-oriented approach, mass events, infectious diseases, epidemiologic surveillance, risk assessment, risk management, geoinformation system
Efremenko D.V., Kuznetsova I.V., Orobey V.G., Efremenkо А.А., Dubyanskiy V.M., Manin E.A., Prislegina D.A., Semenko O.V. Risk-oriented approach application at planning and orginizing antiepidemic provision of mass events. Health Risk Analysis, 2017, no. 1, pp. 4–12. DOI: 10.21668/health.risk/2017.1.01.eng
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